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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+5.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.44+4.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+1.76vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70+4.96vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.54vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.74+2.77vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38-0.58vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.87vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-3.61vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-3.33vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.37vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.36-1.82vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-9.97vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.45-7.99vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.56-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.76University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.96Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.77Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.63Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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13.18Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Mary Paz | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
| India Johnstone | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 25.8% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 21.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.