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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.44+8.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+5.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.44vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+3.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+3.01vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+2.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+1.88vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70+2.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-4.50vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-2.22vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.38-2.47vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-1.35vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.35vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.56-2.52vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-7.09vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-10.94vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.36-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.76Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.96Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.65Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.65Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.09Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Marly Isler | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% |
| India Johnstone | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 25.9% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% |
| Emily Petno | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.