← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.43vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.44+7.21vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.73+4.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.35vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.45+3.82vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.76+1.55vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.23+2.79vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.56+4.38vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.65-0.99vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.70+2.14vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.17vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.74+0.14vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.21vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.38-5.10vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.50-6.39vs Predicted
-
16Brown University1.36-2.65vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College1.15-3.01vs Predicted
-
18Boston College3.20-12.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
9.21Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
-
7.92University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.82Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.55Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.79Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
-
8.01Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
12.14Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
12.14Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.9George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.61Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
13.35Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
-
13.99Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
5.8Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Petno | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Marly Isler | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 12.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| India Johnstone | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 21.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 27.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.