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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.39+3.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.64+1.83vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.47+1.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College-0.42+5.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.46-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.36+1.04vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.70-0.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.04+0.43vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.48-2.15vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.45-0.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+1.28vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.22-3.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.05-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.73-1.62vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.67-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Bowdoin College1.3914.5%1st Place
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3.83Bowdoin College1.6419.1%1st Place
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4.28Bowdoin College1.4716.4%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College-0.422.6%1st Place
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4.35Dartmouth College1.4614.5%1st Place
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7.04University of Vermont0.365.8%1st Place
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6.3Northeastern University0.707.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University-0.042.7%1st Place
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6.85Maine Maritime Academy0.486.4%1st Place
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9.7Bentley University-0.452.5%1st Place
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12.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.9%1st Place
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8.84Boston University-0.222.5%1st Place
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8.02Boston College0.054.2%1st Place
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12.38University of New Hampshire-1.730.4%1st Place
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13.87Bates College-2.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 14.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 19.1% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Harry Bryan | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Welsh | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Skye Johnson | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 29.8% | 15.6% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 29.1% | 18.3% |
| Logan Ray | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 16.8% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.