← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.55+1.38vs Predicted
-
2University of Connecticut1.72+3.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.33-0.32vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.48+1.73vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.89-1.74vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.90-2.01vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.62-1.89vs Predicted
-
10McGill University0.04-2.03vs Predicted
-
11Brandeis University-1.88-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.38Boston College3.550.4%1st Place
-
5.28University of Connecticut1.720.1%1st Place
-
2.68University of Vermont3.330.3%1st Place
-
5.73Northeastern University1.480.0%1st Place
-
3.26Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
-
5.92Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
-
4.99Harvard University1.900.1%1st Place
-
7.11Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
7.97McGill University0.040.0%1st Place
-
9.68Brandeis University-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mullins | 35.9% | 25.3% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 25.1% | 26.9% | 21.8% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Walsh | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 17.3% | 20.0% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Campbell | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 0.7% |
| Sam Millham | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tom McKenzie | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 25.3% | 25.0% | 3.6% |
| Gabrielle Heine | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 44.8% | 9.7% |
| Noah Aschen | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 8.6% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.