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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.67+1.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82-0.75vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.82-0.41vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.37-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Middlebury College0.670.1%1st Place
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1.25Tufts University2.820.8%1st Place
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2.59McGill University0.820.1%1st Place
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3.5Williams College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Colwell | 9.8% | 33.2% | 37.7% | 19.3% |
| Jack Bitney | 77.9% | 19.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Webster | 10.4% | 35.3% | 39.4% | 14.9% |
| Cole Fluehr | 1.9% | 12.1% | 20.4% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.