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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+0.89vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.33+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.26+0.66vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-3.94vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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3.13Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.62Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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2.06University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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5.65University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 43.2% | 33.6% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 11.1% | 17.2% | 33.3% | 25.8% | 11.5% | 1.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 51.1% | 19.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.7% | 10.1% | 21.6% | 40.4% | 18.6% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 35.6% | 34.6% | 20.4% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 16.7% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.