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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.26+1.71vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.89-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.56-3.04vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.33-2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.71University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.58Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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1.96University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.25Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 42.9% | 34.3% | 16.3% | 6.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.8% | 2.8% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 50.9% | 19.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 7.9% | 9.7% | 22.6% | 39.1% | 17.6% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 37.6% | 36.3% | 19.2% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 9.3% | 16.2% | 30.9% | 29.1% | 12.7% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 17.7% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.