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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.02vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.33+0.12vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.26-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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1.98University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.12Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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3.61Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 40.6% | 36.9% | 17.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 39.7% | 32.3% | 20.3% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 12.0% | 15.4% | 31.3% | 31.6% | 8.9% | 0.8% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.2% | 10.7% | 22.9% | 38.9% | 19.0% | 2.3% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 14.6% | 52.9% | 20.8% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 17.0% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.