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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.26+1.67vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.89-1.41vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.33-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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1.97University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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4.67University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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3.59Amherst College0.890.1%1st Place
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3.24Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 41.2% | 35.9% | 16.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 40.1% | 32.6% | 19.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 16.7% | 50.9% | 19.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 6.3% | 10.6% | 24.3% | 37.8% | 18.6% | 2.4% |
| Haley Kachmar | 9.6% | 15.7% | 31.1% | 30.6% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 16.4% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.