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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+0.83vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.09vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.33+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.26-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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1.91University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.02Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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3.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 41.9% | 38.0% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 41.1% | 32.8% | 20.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 12.1% | 16.2% | 37.0% | 27.4% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.4% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 38.4% | 28.4% | 5.0% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 20.8% | 46.4% | 20.0% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 16.9% | 74.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.