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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+0.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.91vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.33-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.26-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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1.89University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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3.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.1%1st Place
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3.07Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 41.7% | 36.3% | 17.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 41.0% | 36.0% | 17.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 5.4% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 37.7% | 27.8% | 5.0% |
| Haley Kachmar | 10.1% | 16.4% | 38.9% | 26.4% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.4% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 21.0% | 46.3% | 19.7% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 16.6% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.