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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University2.69-0.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.33+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.26-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-4.01vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.50-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Brown University2.690.4%1st Place
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3.03Connecticut College1.330.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Connecticut-0.260.0%1st Place
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1.99University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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5.62University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 44.5% | 33.3% | 16.7% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 12.0% | 17.9% | 36.2% | 24.3% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.7% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 37.4% | 27.5% | 5.6% |
| Kimberly Jackman | 1.6% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 22.5% | 46.4% | 17.5% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 36.7% | 36.0% | 19.9% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Baker | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 16.0% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.