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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.59+0.95vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.05-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-4.34-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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1.81University of Rhode Island2.160.4%1st Place
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3.95University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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2.79Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 43.2% | 36.9% | 17.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 42.1% | 37.5% | 17.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Corie Fay | 2.8% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 57.1% | 23.3% | 0.6% |
| Sam Simonds | 11.4% | 19.5% | 49.4% | 17.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.5% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 19.1% | 69.1% | 5.7% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 5.1% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.