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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.76vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16-0.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.05-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.59-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-4.34-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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1.84University of Rhode Island2.160.4%1st Place
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2.73Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.1University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 43.0% | 40.2% | 14.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 41.7% | 35.5% | 19.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Simonds | 13.7% | 18.2% | 51.3% | 14.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.4% | 1.4% | 4.7% | 25.2% | 64.7% | 3.6% |
| Corie Fay | 1.2% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 53.3% | 29.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 94.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.