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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.79vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.05+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.16-1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.59-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-4.34-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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2.73Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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1.87University of Rhode Island2.160.4%1st Place
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3.99University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 44.2% | 36.1% | 16.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Simonds | 13.8% | 19.9% | 47.5% | 16.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 39.7% | 37.5% | 19.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Corie Fay | 1.8% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 56.9% | 23.8% | 0.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 19.4% | 69.0% | 5.6% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 5.0% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.