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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16-0.16vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.05-0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.59-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58-1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-4.34-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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1.84University of Rhode Island2.160.4%1st Place
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2.75Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 42.8% | 39.1% | 16.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 41.7% | 35.4% | 20.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Simonds | 13.6% | 18.6% | 48.7% | 17.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Corie Fay | 1.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 58.0% | 23.8% | 0.7% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 18.8% | 69.7% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 5.0% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.