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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+0.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28-0.28vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.58+1.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.05-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.59-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-4.34-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Rhode Island2.160.4%1st Place
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1.72Brown University2.280.5%1st Place
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4.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.580.0%1st Place
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2.77Connecticut College1.050.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Connecticut-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Connecticut-4.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 36.5% | 41.4% | 18.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 48.5% | 33.9% | 15.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Gallagher | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 21.1% | 67.0% | 4.0% |
| Sam Simonds | 12.2% | 19.0% | 50.5% | 16.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Corie Fay | 1.6% | 3.9% | 10.4% | 56.4% | 26.0% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Huzil | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 4.5% | 94.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.