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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.22+4.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+1.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.50vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+0.54vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60-3.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-6.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-5.68vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-9.57vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.86-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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7.54Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.34Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.63Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.32Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.43Boston University3.240.4%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 20.9% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Honig | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 19.0% | 32.2% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 30.0% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 35.7% | 24.5% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Grams | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 16.8% | 64.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.