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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+3.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+1.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+0.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.22+1.86vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+0.57vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60-3.68vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-6.38vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-5.70vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-9.57vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.86-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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7.57Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.62Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.3Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.43Boston University3.240.3%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 20.8% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Honig | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.0% | 29.9% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 30.2% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 13.7% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 34.9% | 25.7% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Grams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 17.3% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.