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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University-0.86+8.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+1.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24-2.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-2.42vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.22+0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-3.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.53vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60-4.68vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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3.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.37Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.4Boston University3.240.3%1st Place
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3.58Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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7.66Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Grams | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 19.0% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 33.4% | 28.4% | 18.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 17.4% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Honig | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 30.7% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 20.1% | 30.5% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.