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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+1.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.36vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+2.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.86+5.28vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+0.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-2.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79-1.91vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-0.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.34vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60-5.57vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.95-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Boston University3.240.3%1st Place
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3.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.43Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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3.69Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 35.0% | 24.8% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 18.1% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Grams | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 15.8% | 68.7% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 7.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 15.9% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 34.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Pere Puig | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.