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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.79+3.93vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.22+2.85vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.49vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-0.44vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60-3.70vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-6.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-5.68vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-9.55vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.86-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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3.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.2%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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7.56Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.61Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.32Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.45Boston University3.240.3%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Paige | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 19.4% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Honig | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 29.5% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 6.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 20.2% | 30.7% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 14.1% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 5.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 34.7% | 25.3% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Grams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 63.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.