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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.79+9.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+5.46vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+4.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+4.68vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.52vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.74+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+3.24vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+1.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85+1.05vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.16-2.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83+0.33vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.60-7.96vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.89+1.15vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-5.18vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.63-2.82vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.44vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College2.34-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.31Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.46Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.07Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.27Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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17.15North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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15.18Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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16.56University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Alexander | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Peter Girard | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 7.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 39.6% |
| John Silvestri | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 28.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.