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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+6.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+5.79vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+3.73vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+3.04vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+5.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.85vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.57vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-2.70vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-0.66vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.68-0.08vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.85-1.56vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.09vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-0.05vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13+0.52vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-8.29vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.83-3.54vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.45-7.16vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University0.89-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.73Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.33Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.34Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.92Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.95Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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14.46University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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17.3North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 12.1% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 29.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% |
| John Silvestri | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.