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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+7.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+4.58vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+4.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+2.99vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+5.07vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+1.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.82vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.34+4.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.86vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79+0.43vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.16-2.09vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.74-5.37vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-3.42vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.29vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.68-4.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.83-2.67vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.89-0.70vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.42vs Predicted
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20Washington College1.63-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.19Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.43Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.91Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.58Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.33University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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17.3North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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16.58University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.17Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| John Silvestri | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Peter Girard | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.5% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 39.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 23.5% | 27.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.