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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+6.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.01vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+5.82vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+2.65vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+5.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.68vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+2.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.47vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.39-1.33vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-3.57vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-0.55vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.34+0.54vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-1.74vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83+0.37vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-5.07vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-6.77vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-1.28vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.45-7.17vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University0.89-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.14Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.45Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.37University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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15.0Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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16.72University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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17.3North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Peter Girard | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 9.4% |
| William Crary | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 21.3% | 29.1% |
| John Silvestri | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 18.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.