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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.94vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+6.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+3.67vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+10.42vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+2.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+3.25vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45+3.75vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68+1.76vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-3.58vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.16-2.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.07vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.79-2.25vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.34-1.65vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-5.74vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.85-5.90vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.60vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-1.34vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.63-3.96vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University0.89-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.42University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.75Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.26Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.1Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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16.66University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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15.04Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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17.31North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 9.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| John Silvestri | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Will La Dow | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 28.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 13.1% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.