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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+5.63vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+6.96vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.20vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.68+7.20vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.85vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70-0.08vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.39-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+0.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79+0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.85-0.57vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.34+0.80vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83+0.48vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63+0.10vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.89+1.27vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-5.00vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.60-10.77vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.30vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.16-10.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.69Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.43Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.48University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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15.1Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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17.27North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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16.7University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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9.21Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Peter Girard | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 8.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.4% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 40.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 22.6% | 27.7% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.