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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+5.60vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+6.13vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+6.23vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+5.29vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.66vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72+3.34vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90+0.97vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69+1.10vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39+1.55vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.71-0.88vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-3.72vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-1.12vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-4.95vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.13-7.91vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.85+0.14vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.26-1.88vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.93-5.49vs Predicted
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20Stanford University3.01-11.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.1Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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12.88Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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17.14North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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16.12Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| John Wehner | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Walter Florio | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 44.2% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 21.3% | 27.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Russell Clarida | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.