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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+8.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+8.18vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.01+5.85vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.71+6.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+5.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.67vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90+2.50vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.39+3.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-2.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87-0.62vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.93+1.81vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.85+4.38vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-5.16vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-5.01vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-3.15vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.31vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.13-9.66vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-3.04vs Predicted
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20Boston University3.13-11.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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10.18Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.85Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.81University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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17.38North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.99University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.69Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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15.96Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Russell Clarida | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Walter Florio | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Peter Lynn | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| John Rolander | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| William Hawk | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 8.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 48.5% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Paul Hart | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 22.1% | 25.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.