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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+9.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.01+6.66vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.87+6.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+4.17vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+3.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+0.68vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+2.48vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71+1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-0.21vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90-0.84vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.37vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-1.71vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-3.63vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.93-0.46vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.99vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-4.46vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-4.17vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.85-0.74vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-3.05vs Predicted
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20Harvard University2.75-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.66Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.68Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.84Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.16Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.29Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.54Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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17.26North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.95Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.09Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Russell Clarida | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Walter Florio | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| John Wehner | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 45.9% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 26.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.