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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+5.60vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+8.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+6.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.01+1.95vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71+1.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.13-1.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.90-1.75vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.87-2.48vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.96-5.13vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.94vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-4.53vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.93-3.52vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.85-0.75vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-3.03vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University2.08-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.23Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.95Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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17.25North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.97Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.05Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Walter Florio | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| William Hawk | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Russell Clarida | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Amina Brown | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 45.6% |
| Paul Hart | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 21.7% | 26.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.