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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+5.64vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+6.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+6.32vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.01+4.75vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.00vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+3.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+1.44vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08+4.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71+0.07vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.09vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-2.68vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.69-2.50vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.71-3.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.39-3.54vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.93-2.49vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.26-1.03vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.96-9.00vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University0.85-1.85vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island2.72-9.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.41Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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8.44Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.5Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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15.97Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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17.15North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Russell Clarida | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Walter Florio | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| William Hawk | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| John Wehner | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 7.1% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 26.5% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 45.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.