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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.92+8.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+6.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+7.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.49+2.63vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.90+4.19vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.08+7.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.71+1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-0.16vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71+0.09vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.85+6.15vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-3.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.02vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.87-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.93-1.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-6.00vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.39-5.67vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.69-7.70vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-3.11vs Predicted
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20Stanford University3.01-11.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.04Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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13.06Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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17.15North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.33Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.3Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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15.89Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hawk | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| John Rolander | 10.0% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Walter Florio | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 46.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| John Wehner | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 23.1% | 23.7% |
| Russell Clarida | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.