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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.01+7.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+8.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+3.75vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+6.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+3.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.93+6.93vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87+1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.43vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08+2.94vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.90-1.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-4.00vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-6.06vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-4.53vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.71-7.10vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.85-0.77vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.26-3.03vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.92-10.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.17Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.93University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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12.94Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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10.25Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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17.23North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.97Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Clarida | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| John Rolander | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Fuller | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| John Wehner | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Walter Florio | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kara Wheeler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 17.2% | 44.5% |
| Paul Hart | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 26.6% |
| William Hawk | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.