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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-1.58+10.52vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.84+4.34vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+3.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17-0.93vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+2.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.98+4.11vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-1.52vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78+1.10vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-0.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.53-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-4.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.00-1.84vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17-6.10vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.98-4.26vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.58-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.9119.3%1st Place
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12.52University of California at Davis-1.581.5%1st Place
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5.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8312.4%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.277.4%1st Place
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9.34University of California at Berkeley-0.844.4%1st Place
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9.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.884.0%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.6316.7%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.176.8%1st Place
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11.35California State University Monterey Bay-1.322.9%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Davis-1.981.3%1st Place
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9.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.863.6%1st Place
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13.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.782.1%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.611.9%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Berkeley-1.532.1%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.983.1%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Davis-2.001.4%1st Place
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10.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.172.9%1st Place
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13.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.981.1%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Berkeley-0.585.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 19.3% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Bennett Alger | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 16.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Stephanie Ng | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Pike Williams | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% |
| John Flanagan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Dante Drolet | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Farago | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Skinner | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 18.2% |
| Mira Shupe | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Kevin Lu | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Emerson Marquez | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.