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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.47-0.37vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+0.55vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.33-1.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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2.63Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.55Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.32Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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4.01University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 69.6% | 22.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 16.2% | 36.6% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Frank Egan | 3.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 25.3% | 33.9% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.7% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| Judas Taylor | 3.5% | 12.9% | 20.5% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 18.3% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.3% | 10.6% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 22.7% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.