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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+0.62vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.33+0.91vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+0.57vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.84vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.91University of New Hampshire0.330.1%1st Place
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4.57Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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4.36Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 70.5% | 21.9% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 15.9% | 38.1% | 24.0% | 14.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 5.3% | 12.7% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 23.2% | 14.7% |
| Frank Egan | 2.0% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 33.4% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 2.9% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| Liam Shanahan | 3.4% | 7.7% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 23.1% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.