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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.38vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.33+1.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+0.06vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.47-2.42vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-1.35vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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3.95University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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4.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.1%1st Place
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2.58Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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4.65Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.38Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 71.0% | 21.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 3.7% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 16.9% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 5.3% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 24.1% | 18.3% |
| Aaron Klein | 14.6% | 38.2% | 27.8% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Frank Egan | 2.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 37.2% |
| Liam Shanahan | 3.2% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 26.2% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.