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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.33-0.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.89vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-1.59vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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2.59Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.91University of New Hampshire0.330.1%1st Place
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4.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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4.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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4.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 70.5% | 21.8% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 15.5% | 39.8% | 23.2% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Judas Taylor | 5.3% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 22.3% | 23.1% | 15.4% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.5% | 10.4% | 19.2% | 24.4% | 23.8% | 18.7% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.4% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 24.0% | 28.6% |
| Frank Egan | 2.8% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.