← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.04+0.39vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.47+0.60vs Predicted
-
4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.33-1.03vs Predicted
-
6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-1.59vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.39Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
-
2.6Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
-
4.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
-
3.97University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
4.41Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
-
4.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 69.9% | 22.7% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 15.9% | 38.0% | 24.7% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Frank Egan | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 25.8% | 33.2% |
| Judas Taylor | 3.6% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 24.4% | 23.2% | 15.1% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.5% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 29.4% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.2% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 22.3% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.