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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+1.63vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04-0.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.33-1.05vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-1.37vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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1.37Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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3.95University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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4.63Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.36Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 15.1% | 37.3% | 26.9% | 13.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 71.1% | 22.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.4% | 10.1% | 20.7% | 21.4% | 25.6% | 17.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 4.6% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 15.5% |
| Frank Egan | 1.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 23.2% | 36.6% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.9% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 23.0% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.