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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.47+1.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04-0.63vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+0.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.33-1.97vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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1.37Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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4.57Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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4.03University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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4.36Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Klein | 15.2% | 37.4% | 26.4% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 71.3% | 21.8% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frank Egan | 2.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 26.8% | 32.9% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.7% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 24.2% | 17.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 4.1% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 23.1% | 22.3% | 18.4% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.9% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 22.0% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.