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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+0.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.33-0.07vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.65vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-1.36vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Tufts University3.040.7%1st Place
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2.62Tufts University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.93University of New Hampshire0.330.1%1st Place
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4.35Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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4.64Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 70.0% | 22.2% | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Klein | 15.7% | 38.4% | 23.9% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Judas Taylor | 5.2% | 12.6% | 21.4% | 21.2% | 24.2% | 15.4% |
| Liam Shanahan | 2.7% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 24.1% | 26.1% |
| Frank Egan | 2.1% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 23.2% | 37.3% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.3% | 10.1% | 21.0% | 22.6% | 22.7% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.