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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.57+0.52vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19+2.02vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+0.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Tufts University2.570.6%1st Place
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4.02Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.77Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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3.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.1%1st Place
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2.1Tufts University1.810.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolfe Glover | 59.4% | 31.7% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Frank Egan | 3.3% | 5.6% | 18.7% | 30.7% | 41.7% |
| Liam Shanahan | 4.1% | 8.9% | 25.1% | 29.2% | 32.7% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 5.2% | 10.5% | 29.0% | 31.3% | 24.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 28.0% | 43.3% | 20.5% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.