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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57-0.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+0.58vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-0.20vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Tufts University1.810.3%1st Place
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1.52Tufts University2.570.6%1st Place
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3.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.1%1st Place
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3.8Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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3.97Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 28.0% | 41.9% | 21.4% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Rolfe Glover | 59.6% | 30.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 5.6% | 10.8% | 27.5% | 32.7% | 23.4% |
| Liam Shanahan | 3.7% | 8.4% | 25.1% | 29.3% | 33.5% |
| Frank Egan | 3.1% | 8.7% | 17.7% | 28.8% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.