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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57-0.39vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01+1.33vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-1.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.83vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.19-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Tufts University1.810.3%1st Place
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1.61Tufts University2.570.6%1st Place
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4.33Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
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4.0Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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4.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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4.6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 25.2% | 39.4% | 21.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Rolfe Glover | 57.9% | 27.6% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam Shanahan | 4.5% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 26.7% | 24.9% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 5.2% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 24.2% | 24.5% | 15.7% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.3% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 22.7% | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Frank Egan | 2.9% | 5.0% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.