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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.67vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+2.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+5.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+4.52vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.51vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21-1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-0.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-3.20vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21-1.68vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.67+1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.72+2.90vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-9.03vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.52-1.21vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.19-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.78-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.89Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.32Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.56Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.97Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.79McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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12.29Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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13.35University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 11.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 15.3% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Moody | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 10.0% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 65.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 12.5% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.