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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+5.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+0.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+0.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21-1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.27vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.19+3.35vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-0.86vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.52+2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-4.66vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05-3.19vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.72+1.94vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.90-8.09vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-2.37vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.78-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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4.91Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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5.89Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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12.35Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.83McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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15.94University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.63Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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13.31University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Ryan | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 26.2% | 12.5% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 63.5% |
| James Moody | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 11.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.