← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.24+4.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.58+5.85vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.05+6.60vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.78vs Predicted
-
5Bates College1.19+7.12vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.56-1.04vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.21-1.14vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.89vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.21+0.35vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-3.19vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.90-3.94vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.76-4.67vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College0.67+0.54vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.23-8.02vs Predicted
-
15McGill University0.52-1.16vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire0.78-2.62vs Predicted
-
17University of Connecticut-0.72-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.6Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
-
4.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
12.12Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
-
4.96Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
5.86Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.35Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.06Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
13.54Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.98Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
13.84McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
-
13.38University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
16.03University of Connecticut-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Ryan | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 11.6% |
| Conner Harding | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Ker | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 26.6% | 12.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 7.7% |
| Alexandra Rice | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.